Mile High Delphi

• A new look at Colorado State Unemployment Numbers.

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  We here at MHD felt that just looking at the increases in Colorado State's unemployment rate during the Ritter years, and during the years since 2005 when the Democrats took control of the Colorado State Legislature for the first time in forty years, is rather unfair.
  
  A better [...]
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  Posted: November 23, 2009, 10:43pm EST
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• Updated Projections for 2010. Colorado Senate, House, Governor.

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  Lets make this short and sweet.
  
  Senator Michael Bennet (D) is now rated by MHD as the underdog to ANY Republican. Don't blame us, if you think we are wrong go buy a Bennet futures contract over at intrade.com, he is trading for about 45 cents on the' [...]
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  Posted: November 18, 2009, 7:34pm EST
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• Gearing up for 2009 and 2010.

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  Well, you can tell that we are entering summer in an off year.
  
  Things are pretty slow here at MHD. But we are starting work on next years elections already.
  
  As far as Colorado is concerned, this year should be considered a real high point for Centennial [...]
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  Posted: May 29, 2009, 2:49pm EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• Looking ahead at Colorado's 2010 elections.

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  There will be two big elections in Colorado in 2010, the Governor's Race and the battle for Senator Ken Salazar's Senate Seat.
  
  Governor Bill Ritter was elected in 2006 with a decisive margin over Republican Congressman Bob Beauprez. 2006 was a Democratic year and we certainly don't feel that' [...]
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  Posted: November 19, 2008, 8:08pm EST
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• Final Projections 2008:

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  President: Obama 364 McCain 174 Obama is our projected winner.
  Senate: Democrats 59 Republicans 41 Democrats pick up eight seats.
  House: Democrats 255-265 Republicans 180-170. Democratic pickup of 20-30 seats.
  
  Colorado:
  Senate: Udall Democratic Pickup
  House: CO-1 D, CO-2 D, CO-3 D, CO-4 Toss up, CO-5 [...]
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  Posted: November 04, 2008, 12:33pm EST
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• Final Colorado State Senate Projection 2008.

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  Districts without elections: 16 divided R-8 D-8
  
  Districts with elections: 19 current makeup R-7 D-12
  
  Projected make up: R-16 D-19
  
  District Breakdown:
  
  Republican Held:
  
  SD-4: Safe Republican District. Mark Sheffel (R) is our projected winner.
  
  SD-8: Competitive District. Al [...]
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  Posted: November 04, 2008, 11:26pm EST
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• Colorado State House Final Projection 2008.

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  House Districts 1-9 City and County of Denver. All Safe Democrat.
  
  House Districts 10-13 Boulder, Gilpin and Clear Creek Counties. All Safe Democrat.
  
  House Districts 14-21 El Paso and Fremont Counties. 6 Safe Republican 1 Republican Favored 1 Democrat Favored.
  
  House Districts 22-29 [...]
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  Posted: November 03, 2008, 2:58pm EST
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• Final US Senate Projection.

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  Here is our final US Senate Projection for the 2008 cycle. We are projecting a Democratic gain of 8 seats.
  
  Here are the states that the Democrats should pick up, listed from most likely to least likely.
  
  Virginia, New Mexico, Colorado, Alaska, New [...]
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  Posted: November 03, 2008, 10:14pm EST
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• South Projection.

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  Overall ten states, net senate change Democrat +1, net house change Republican +2.
  
  North Carolina: Senate Democrat Pick Up, House NC-8 Toss Up.
  South Carolina: No Change.
  Georgia: GA-8 Toss Up.
  Florida: House FL-8 GOP Hold, FL-16 GOP Pick Up, FL-21 GOP Hold, FL-24 Toss Up, FL-25 GOP Hold.
  [...]
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  Posted: November 02, 2008, 9:34pm EST
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• Mid Atlantic and Border States.

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  Overall six states, net senate change Democrat +1, net house change Democrat +1.
  
  New Jersey: House NJ-3 Toss Up, NJ-7 Toss Up.
  Delaware: No Change.
  Maryland: No Change.
  Virginia: Senate Democrat Pick Up, House VA-11 Democrat Pick Up.
  West Virginia: No Change.
  Kentucky: No Change. [...]
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  Posted: November 02, 2008, 9:17pm EST
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• New England Projection.

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  Overall six states, net senate change Democrat +1, net house change 0.
  
  Maine: No Change.
  Vermont: No Change.
  New Hampshire: Senate Democrat Pick Up, House NH-1 Toss Up.
  Massachusetts: No Change.
  Rhode Island: No Change.
  Connecticut: House CT-4 Toss Up. [...]
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  Posted: November 02, 2008, 9:01pm EST
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• Great Lakes Projection.

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  Overall eight states, net senate change 0, net house change Democrat +4.
  
  Minnesota: Senate Republican Hold, House MN-3 Toss UP, MN-6 Toss Up.
  Wisconsin: House WI-8 Toss Up.
  Michigan: House MI-7 Toss Up, MI-9 Toss Up.
  Illinois: House IL-10 Toss Up, IL-11 Democrat Pick Up.
  Indiana: House IN-3 Toss [...]
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  Posted: October 29, 2008, 8:08pm EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• Electoral Vote Projection Update October 29, 2008

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  Three Blue Dudes has averaged all of the prediction pages out there and they now have Obama winning the Presidency with about 320 electoral votes. Fifty more than the 270 needed.
  
  Our projection as it stands today is that Obama [...]
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  Posted: October 29, 2008, 7:49pm EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• Great Plains Projection.

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  Overall seven states, net senate change 0, net house change Republican +1.
  
  North Dakota: No Change.
  South Dakota: No Change.
  Nebraska: No Change.
  Kansas: House KS-2 Republican Pickup.
  Oklahoma: No Change.
  Missouri: House MO-6 Republican Hold, MO-9 Republican Hold.
  Iowa: No Change. [...]
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  Posted: October 29, 2008, 7:20pm EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• Mountain States Projection.

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  Overall eight states, net senate change Democrat +2, net house change Democrat +1.
  
  Arizona: House AZ-1 Democratic Pickup, AZ-3 Republican Hold.
  Nevada: House NV-3 Toss UP.
  Utah: No Change.
  Idaho: No Change.
  Montana: No Change.
  Wyoming: No Change.
  Colorado: Senate Democratic Pickup, House CO-4 Toss Up.
  New Mexico: Senate [...]
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  Posted: October 29, 2008, 7:10pm EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• Pacific States Projection.

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  Overall five states, net senate change Democrat +2, net house change Democrat +3.
  
  Alaska: Senate: Democratic Pickup, House AL: Democratic Pickup
  Hawaii: No change.
  Washington: House WA-8: Toss up.
  Oregon: Senate: Democratic Pickup.
  California: House CA-4: Democratic Pickup. [...]
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  Posted: October 29, 2008, 7:05pm EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• Electoral vote projection Update October 24, 2008

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  Three Blue Dudes has averaged all of the prediction pages out there and they now have Obama winning the Presidency with about 320 electoral votes. Fifty more than the 270 needed.
  
  Our projection as it stands today is that Obama will [...]
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  Posted: October 24, 2008, 12:18am EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• US House Projection Update September 17, 2008

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  Our current projection for the US House is D-249 R-186. That is a Democratic pickup of 13 seats.
  
  Other sites with House Projections.
  
  Isto Pensitaris D-244 R-191
  Vote Projections 2008 D-244 R-191
  Electoral-Vote.com D-243 R-192
  Election Projection D-245 R-190
  Open Left D-248 [...]
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  Posted: September 17, 2008, 12:22pm EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• Electoral Vote Projection Update September 16, 2008

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  Here is a look at our Top Ten Battleground States:
  
  Colorado: Toss Up Leaning Democrat.
  Florida: Leans Republican.
  Michigan: Leans Democrat.
  Minnesota: Leans Democrat.
  Nevada: Toss Up Leaning Republican.
  New Hampshire: Toss Up Leaning Democrat.
  New Mexico: Toss Up Leaning Democrat.
  [...]
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  Posted: September 16, 2008, 5:41pm EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• US Senate Projection Update 11 September 2008

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  Here is a look at the elite eight closest Senate Races:
  
  Alaska: Leans Democratic Pickup
  Colorado: Leans Democratic Pickup
  Louisiana: Leans Democratic Hold
  Minnesota: Republican Leaning Toss Up
  Mississippi Special: Leans Republican Hold
  New Hampshire: Democrat Favored Pickup
  North Carolina: Republican [...]
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  Posted: September 11, 2008, 2:18pm EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• Electoral vote projection 2008 Intrade home page.

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  The variable that has the highest weight in our model is the intrade markets. Today marks a milestone, the first time ever that McCain futures are trading for more than Obama futures.
  
  
  
  
  Of course this election isn't a national referendum, it is instead' [...]
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  Posted: September 11, 2008, 11:52am EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• Electoral Vote Projection Update September 9, 2008

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  Our new projection shows one state moving from the Obama column to the McCain Column, Ohio.
  
  As it stands right now, we project that Obama will win the Presidency with 273 electoral votes to McCain's 265.
  
  Here is a look at our updated' [...]
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  Posted: September 09, 2008, 9:26pm EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• US Senate Projection Update 02 September 2008

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  Here is a look at the elite eight closest Senate Races:
  
  Alaska: Likely Democratic Pickup
  Colorado: Leans Democratic Pickup
  Louisiana: Leans Democratic Hold
  Minnesota: Republican Leaning Toss Up
  Mississippi Special: Leans Republican Hold
  New Hampshire: Likely Democratic Pickup
  North Carolina: Republican [...]
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  Posted: September 02, 2008, 4:33pm EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• Electoral Vote Projection Update September 1, 2008

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  Our new projection shows one state moving from the Obama column to the McCain Column, Virginia.
  
  As it stands right now, we project that Obama will win the Presidency with 293 electoral votes to McCain's 245.
  
  Here is a look at' [...]
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  Posted: September 01, 2008, 8:33am EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• Electoral Vote Projection Update August 15, 2008

  Number of comments: 0
  
  
  Our new projection shows one state moving from the Obama column to the McCain Column, Nevada.
  
  As it stands right now, we project that Obama will win the Presidency with 306 electoral votes to McCain's 232.
  
  Here is a look at our' [...]
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  Posted: August 15, 2008, 1:48pm EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• US Senate Projection Update 09 August 2008

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  Here is a look at the elite eight closest Senate Races:
  
  Alaska: Likely Democratic Pickup
  Louisiana: Democratic Toss Up
  Maine: Likely Republican
  Minnesota: Likely Republican
  Mississippi Special: Leans Republican
  New Hampshire: Likely Democratic Pickup
  North Carolina: Leans Republican [...]
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  Posted: August 10, 2008, 10:47pm EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• US Senate Race Ratings Chart

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  Toss Up (2): Republican; Oregon. Democrat; Louisiana.
  
  Leans (2): Republican; Mississippi Special, North Carolina. Democrat; None.
  
  Likely (6): Republican; Kentucky, Maine and Minnesota. Democrat; Alaska (Pickup), Colorado (Pickup) and New Hampshire (Pickup).
  
  Favored (2) Republican; Idaho and Texas. Democrat; None.
  
  Safe Republican (10): Alabama, Georgia, Kansas, [...]
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  Posted: August 10, 2008, 10:28pm EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• Colorado State House Race Ratings Chart.

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  Current Make Up: Democrats 40 Republicans 25. Projected Make Up: Democrats 36 Republicans 26 Toss Up 4
  
  Safe Republican 22
  
  Safe Democrat 22
  
  Republican Favored 3
  
  Democrat Favored 8
  
  Leans Republican 1
  
  Leans Democrat 5
  
  Toss Up Republican Held 0
  
  Toss Up [...]
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  Posted: August 07, 2008, 1:54am EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• Colorado State Senate Race Ratings Chart.

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  Current Make Up: 20 Democrats 15 Republicans. Projected Make Up: Democrats 18 Republicans 15 Toss Up 2
  
  No Election: R-8 D-8
  
  Safe Republican (4): SD 27, SD 4, SD 10, SD 12
  
  Safe Democrat (8): SD 17, SD 18, SD 25, SD 28, SD 29, SD 31, [...]
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  Posted: August 07, 2008, 1:45am EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• Electoral Vote Race Ratings Chart.

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  Toss Up (4): Republican; Florida and Indiana. Democrat; Nevada and Virginia.
  
  Leans (7): Republican; Missouri, Montana and North Carolina. Democrat; Colorado, Michigan, New Hampshire and Ohio.
  
  Likely (6): Republican; Alaska, North Dakota and South Dakota. Democrat; Iowa, New Mexico and Pennsylvania.
  
  Favored (4) Republican; Georgia and Mississippi. [...]
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  Posted: August 07, 2008, 1:33am EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• Electoral Vote Projection Update August 6, 2008

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  Our prediction remains unchanged at Obama 311 McCain 227.
  
  Here are what some of the other projection sites say:
  
  Electoral-Vote.com predicts Obama 289 McCain 236 Toss Up 13.
  
  
  
  3 Blue Dudes predicts Obama 260 McCain 157 [...]
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  Posted: August 06, 2008, 12:12pm EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• State House and State Senate Prediction Update.

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  Here is our new projection for the Colorado State Senate and Colorado State House elections.
  
  State Senate: Current D-20 R-15 Projection D-18 R-15 Toss up-2
  
  State House: Current D-40 R-25 Projection D-36 R-26 Toss up-4
  
  Detailed analysis will be up shortly along with a map of the [...]
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  Posted: August 05, 2008, 12:31am EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• State House Districts: Douglas County and Teller County.

  Colorado State House District 43 (HD 43): Safe Republican. Frank McNulty (R) Freshman* Contact: http://www.frankmcnulty.com/ CO Maps HD 43 Page Here.
  
  Colorado State House District 44 (HD 44): Safe Republican. Mike May (R) Junior* Contact: http://www.mike-may.org/ CO Maps HD 44 Page Here.
  
  Colorado State [...]
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  Posted: July 31, 2008, 12:56am EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• State House Districts: Arapahoe and Elbert County.

  Colorado State House District 36 (HD 36): Democrat Favored. Open CO Maps HD 36 Page Here.
  
  Colorado State House District 37 (HD 37): Safe Republican. Spencer Swalm (R) Freshman* Contact: http://www.swalmforhd37.org/ CO Maps HD 37 Page Here. Spencer Swalm Wikipedia page here.
  
  Colorado State [...]
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  Posted: July 30, 2008, 1:11am EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• State House Districts: El Paso and Fremont County.

  Colorado State House District 14 (HD 14): Safe Republican. Kent Lambert (R) Freshman* Contact: http://www.kentlambert.com/ CO Maps HD 14 Page Here. Kent Lambert Wikipedia page here.
  
  Colorado State House District 15 (HD 15): Safe Republican. Douglas Bruce (R) Red Shirt Freshman* Contact: http://www.state.co.us/gov_dir/leg_dir/House/members/Hou15.html CO Maps HD 15 [...]
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  Posted: July 30, 2008, 12:35am EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• Electoral vote projection Update July 27, 2008

  Number of comments: 0
  
  
  
  Here is our new update. As things stand now Obama would win the Presidency with 311 electoral votes to McCain's 227.
  
  Missouri has moved from going from Obama to McCain. It is our only change this week.
  
  Our dirty dozen [...]
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  Posted: July 28, 2008, 11:14pm EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• Honey Moon for Colorado Governor Bill Ritter Seems to be Over.

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  The Democratic party has had a remarkable rise in Colorado. In 2002 the GOP held both houses of the State Legislature, the Governor's office, five out of seven US House Seats and both Senate Seats. Today the Colorado Republican party has lost two of its five US House Seats, a [...]
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  Posted: July 25, 2008, 12:11am EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• US Senate Projection Update 22 July 2008

  Number of comments: 0
  
  
  
  Here is a look at the elite eight closest Senate Races:
  
  Alaska: Weak Democratic Pickup (60% probability)
  Louisiana: Weak Democratic Hold (60%)
  Maine: Moderate Republican Hold (70%)
  Minnesota: Moderate Republican Hold (67%)
  Mississippi Special: Weak Democratic Pickup (60%)
  New Hampshire: Strong Democratic Pickup [...]
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  Posted: July 22, 2008, 1:17pm EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• Electoral Vote Projection Update July 18, 2008

  Number of comments: 0
  
  
  Here is our new update. As things stand now Obama would win the Presidency with 322 electoral votes to McCain's 216.
  
  There is no change from our last projection.
  
  Our dirty dozen most competitive states have changed somewhat. Michigan and Pennsylvania [...]
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  Posted: July 18, 2008, 12:09am EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• Colorado State Senate Update July 17, 2008

  Number of comments: 0
  
  
  
  Our current projection for the State Senate is D 18 R 15 Toss Up 2
  
  Click on the image above for a bigger version of the map.
  
  Senate District 16 and 19 are the most competitive districts right now. Even if [...]
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  Posted: July 17, 2008, 1:16pm EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• Schaffer vs Udall Debate Reaction.

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  We here at MHD try our best to be non-biased. The conventional wisdom seems to be coming down on the side of Bob Shaffer winning the first debate in the Colorado senate race.
  
  Here is a link to Channel 9. From their page you can watch the video [...]
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  Posted: July 16, 2008, 12:50am EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• "Colorado Model" Making Media Waves.

  Number of comments: 0
  In a recent Weekly Standard article, Fred Barnes outlined "The Colorado Model."
  
  

  The Democratic surge in Colorado reflects the national trend, but it involves a great deal more. There's something unique going on in Colorado that, if copied in other states, has the potential to produce sweeping [...]

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  Posted: July 16, 2008, 11:58pm EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• US Senate Projection Update 11 July 2008

  Number of comments: 0
  
  
  
  Here is a look at the elite eight closest Senate Races:
  
  Alaska: Weak Democratic Pickup (59% probability)
  Colorado: Strong Democratic Pickup (81%)
  Louisiana: Weak Democratic Hold (57%)
  Minnesota: Moderate Republican Hold (62%)
  Mississippi Special: Moderate Democratic Pickup (61%)
  New Hampshire: Strong Democratic Pickup [...]
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  Posted: July 11, 2008, 2:47am EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• Electoral Vote Projection Update July 8, 2008

  Number of comments: 0
  
  
  Here is our new update. As things stand now Obama would win the Presidency with 322 electoral votes to McCain's 216.
  
  There is no change from our last projection.
  
  Our dirty dozen most competitive states have changed somewhat. Iowa is dropping [...]
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  Posted: July 08, 2008, 10:41am EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• US Senate Projection Update June 24th 2008

  Number of comments: 0
  
  
  Our new Senate Projection is unchanged from our last one. We forecast the Democrats picking up six seats.
  
  US Senate Projection Home Page here. [...]
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  Posted: June 24, 2008, 12:34am EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• Electoral Vote Projection Update June 24th

  Number of comments: 0
  
  
  Here is our new update. As things stand now Obama would win the Presidency with 322 electoral votes to McCain's 216.
  
  Two more states have gone into the Democratic column this week, Nevada and Missouri.
  
  Our electoral vote homepage is here. [...]
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  Posted: June 24, 2008, 12:12am EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• US Senate Projection Update 20 June 2008

  Number of comments: 0
  
  
  Like with our Electoral Projection we will no longer have toss ups. As things stand now our map stays the same, with the Democrats picking up six seats. Including Liberman and Sanders, the two independents who caucus with the Democrats, the Senate will be made [...]
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  Posted: June 20, 2008, 11:42pm EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• Electoral Vote Projection Mid June 2008

  Number of comments: 0
  
  
  After much thought we have decided to modify our projection. We will no longer have toss up states.
  
  Our electoral vote home page is here.
  
  Our current projection shows Obama beating McCain 306 Electoral votes to 232.
  
  Here is [...]
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  Posted: June 18, 2008, 12:19am EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• Colorado Politics 101: How liberal our our Democrats?

  Number of comments: 0
  Every year the National Journal publishes a list of the members of the House and Senate, they are ranked, based upon their voting behavior, from most liberal to most conservative.
  
  First we will look at Colorado's Democratic Delegation.
  
  Senator Salazar is ranked as the 42nd most liberal Senator, [...]
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  Posted: June 05, 2008, 7:40pm EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit

• US Senate Projection Update 1 June 2008

  Number of comments: 0
  
  US Senate Homepage
  
  Current Projection: Democrats gain 6 seats. Results D-57 R-43
  
  The elite eight most competitive Senate Races:
  
  Races are listed by how competitive they are based upon Intrade probabilities:
  
  (1) Previous Rank (4)
  
  Alaska: Stevens (R) [...]
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  Posted: June 01, 2008, 6:46pm EDT
  by MHD Intelligence Unit