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Rogue Economist Rants

  • Prospects for the coming year

    As we near the end of the year, I'd like to make an overview of my current views of where we might find ourselves next year. This is an aggregation of much of recurring themes in this blog plus some additional points made by similarly-oriented blogs in recent weeks. First' [...]
    Posted: November 18, 2009, 8:37pm EST
    by Rogue Economist
  • Global Rebalancing and sustainable recovery

    Let me just momentarily dip back into the blogosphere with this link to Edward Hugh’s post…… The G20 and Why Export Dependency And Global Imbalances Matter

    Edward touches up on several recurring themes here in my blog, many of which I touched as I tried to figure out [...]
    Posted: October 01, 2009, 9:33pm EDT
    by Rogue Economist
  • Auf weider sehen

    A year into my blog, I find a need to break. What a year it has been covering world economics. From the threat of inflation to its wild swing into deflation, events have led to a point where no economic doctrine was safe from intense scrutiny and questioning. It was [...]
    Posted: May 29, 2009, 12:44pm EDT
    by Rogue Economist
  • Ironies in economic behaviour

    I listed the following economic truisms last year. I repost them here, as a reminder to both individuals in regulating their future behaviour, and to policymakers designing tweaks in the economic system.

    1. Quest for everything at the cheapest cost. Not only has this led to the occasional [...]
    Posted: May 22, 2009, 9:05am EDT
    by Rogue Economist
  • Rise of the dragon currency

    Nouriel Roibini is warning how financial power is currently transferring at a rapid pace towards China, as a result of US need to fund its deficit.

    China is a creditor country with large current account surpluses, a small budget deficit, much lower public debt as a share of [...]
    Posted: May 15, 2009, 3:19pm EDT
    by Rogue Economist
  • Where to look for green shoots of recovery

    In a regular business recession, businesses that over-expanded whittle down their excess inventory, and reinvest capital in more profitable lines. Once inventories are at a more sustainable level and capital redeployed to more appropriate endeavors, growth should come back.

    What the US has now is a capitalist recession. In [...]
    Posted: May 08, 2009, 4:56pm EDT
    by Rogue Economist
  • The curse of the big, publicly-held company

    The bigger the company, the more lavish its executive perks. And the bigger the company, the more likely it will be a publicly-held company.

    Just about every corporate malfeasance seems to have been committed by those at the top of the publicly-held toy company, Mattel over the years – [...]
    Posted: May 01, 2009, 6:36pm EDT
    by Rogue Economist
  • Are most pension funds ponzi schemes?

    Hedge funds, mutual funds, pension funds, pre-need funds…you name it, they’ve all taken a beating these past couple of years. Many are likely one step away from possible liquidation, as security assets across all classes, across all sectors, and across all types have all fallen from their all-time highs. And [...]
    Posted: April 24, 2009, 4:45pm EDT
    by Rogue Economist
  • A time for regulation

    The free market has been responsible for a lot of technological progress. It is also responsible for the improvement of life standards and the continued increase of productivity in the economy. It has also been known to bring prices down through price competition.

    But a free market has also [...]
    Posted: April 17, 2009, 5:52pm EDT
    by Rogue Economist
  • Is The Geithner Plan necessary? Rationale of the Public Private Investment Program

    There have been many articles out that criticized the Geithner Plan, mainly because it it’s a mechanism that further privatizes the gains and socializes the loss from the toxic assets held by US banks. With a mechanism where the government leverages the private sector bidder for the assets 7 times, [...]
    Posted: April 10, 2009, 10:50am EDT
    by Rogue Economist
  • MENA and ASEAN, new regional trading centres on the rise

    We could be seeing a pick up in mergers and acquisitions activity some time soon. Perhaps not in the developed markets, but in the emerging markets. I have been anticipating something like this to happen for some time, and the recent confluence of events could naturally lead to this.
    [...]
    Posted: April 04, 2009, 12:10am EDT
    by Rogue Economist
  • Simon Johnson: The financial community's quiet coup

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    Simon Johnson today writes in the Atlantic an interesting [...]
    Posted: March 27, 2009, 7:42pm EDT
    by Rogue Economist
  • Mapping uncharted economic territory

    Americans shouldn’t really be blaming the Fed for what it has been doing lately. After all, it’s been doing what it’s mandated to do, which is to prevent further economic collapse, given the tools available to it, which is monetary policy.

    If the Fed does nothing now, the collapse [...]
    Posted: March 20, 2009, 8:03pm EDT
    by Rogue Economist
  • Investor unconventionality -a behavioral way to fix capitalism

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    Are we doomed to experience historically wider fluctuations in all [...]
    Posted: March 13, 2009, 10:55pm EDT
    by Rogue Economist
  • A cure for declining productivity: Promote small-scale enterprise

    John Quiggin writes on a theme that he has been going on about for ages, the declining growth rate of productivity and/or innovation. He starts off by pointing: to work by Michael Mandel suggesting that much of the measured productivity growth in the US has been bogus (see also [...]
    Posted: March 05, 2009, 5:49pm EST
    by Rogue Economist
  • When Giants Fall

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    Posted: March 04, 2009, 5:06pm EST
    by Rogue Economist
  • Globalization: Has it led to the rise of free trade or the rise of powerful economic agents?

    Have we really seen a rise in free trade as globalization enveloped the farthest reaches of the world? Several empirical and anecdotal evidence point the other way.

    Take China, for instance. In the last decade, no other country could boast of a much faster pace of economic growth than [...]
    Posted: February 23, 2009, 2:30pm EST
    by Rogue Economist
  • Could this be the beginning of the end of nation-states?

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    Dani Rodrik is right in saying that the [...]
    Posted: February 11, 2009, 9:02am EST
    by Rogue Economist
  • The best stimulus plan: What is your country?

    What is the best stimulus plan to get the economy going again? The answer to this may depend on what country you come from. Your government is likely picking the biggest focus of its stimulus package based on how it understands how your local economy works. Here are my views, [...]
    Posted: January 29, 2009, 9:24pm EST
    by Rogue Economist
  • Chinese excess savings, declining world trade, and the rising US dollar

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    Brad Setser has an intriguing piece that tries to understand how [...]
    Posted: January 20, 2009, 11:15am EST
    by Rogue Economist
  • Fiscal deficits and reviving 'animal spirits'

    The most important discussions, in my opinion, this year, and particularly for the next 6 months, will be those that define and refine the fiscal stimulus debate. The most productive discussions seem to be coming out of Mark Thoma, Paul Krugman, Robert Reich, Joseph Stiglitz, and [...]
    Posted: January 14, 2009, 5:14pm EST
    by Rogue Economist
  • Wacky stories of 2008

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    This is indeed a madcap world. Below are some of [...]
    Posted: January 01, 2009, 8:58am EST
    by Rogue Economist
  • Oil: Canada's version of the US housing boom

    Canada’s version of the US housing boom has been the Alberta oil sands boom. This has resulted in various investors and oil companies flocking to Alberta, and along with them, thousands of migrant labourers looking to secure one of the lucrative jobs the boom created. Now, the floor has [...]
    Posted: December 29, 2008, 12:59pm EST
    by Rogue Economist
  • Will quantitative easing lead to more bank lending?

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    Aggressive monetary policy, such as quantitative easing, were meant to [...]
    Posted: December 26, 2008, 10:24am EST
    by Rogue Economist

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