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Items by Jeff Michaels

  • Is Pallone vulnerable?

    Politicker NJ

    As pundits and party leaders look to next year’s Congressional elections in NJ, it appears that freshman Democrat John Adler is the most vulnerable incumbent.  Despite actually calling himself a “conservative” Democrat, his vote for ultra-liberal House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and the Democrat Leadership will render that innoculation strategy suspect, [...]
    Posted: November 23, 2009, 9:23pm EST
    by Jeff Michaels
  • Obama blind spot?

    Politicker NJ

    The NJ gubernatorial election result demonstrates that Governor-elect Chris Christie resurrected the center-right voter coalition of Republicans, Independents, and conservative and moderate Democrats that has always produced Republican victories.  Even Christie Whitman failed to do this in both her elections for Governor. Christie was able to hold social conservatives on [...]
    Posted: November 09, 2009, 8:20am EST
    by Jeff Michaels
  • The real Chris Christie

    Politicker NJ

    Governor-elect Christopher J. Christie.  How sweet it is for the thousands of volunteers who worked since February to support this great man for NJ Governor.  I am proud to be one of them. Congratulations go to him and to his wife Mary Pat and terrific family.  Also congratulations to Lt Governor-elect [...]
    Posted: November 04, 2009, 8:35am EST
    by Jeff Michaels
  • The National Climate

    Politicker NJ

    Early in the year, when President Obama enjoyed a strong honeymoon upon Inauguration, it appeared that the new national mood would be a strong wind at Governor Corzine's back. As the year went on, however, especially in late summer, rising public discontent with ObamaCare brought President Obama's approval ratings back down [...]
    Posted: September 27, 2009, 9:55am EDT
    by Jeff Michaels
  • Democrats Rule!

    Politicker NJ

    You have to admire the sheer chutzpah and brazenness of the Democratic Party, both here in NJ and nationally.  As a former political operative and current armchair junkie, I admire and bow-down to the inventiveness and creativity with which this political organization and the people who lead it seek, obtain, [...]
    Posted: September 23, 2009, 11:35pm EDT
    by Jeff Michaels
  • The First Debate

    Politicker NJ

    It is more than 2 weeks away, but I believe the first gubernatorial debate of the general election on October 1st looms large as a potential turning point in the race. In contests for open seats, debates do little more than reinforce partisan allegiances.  Absent a knock-out punch by one of [...]
    Posted: September 16, 2009, 9:15am EDT
    by Jeff Michaels
  • Who really won the summer?

    Politicker NJ

    Today's Quinnipiac poll follows recent independent surveys (even Democratic ones) showing the same thing - Chris Christie has not relinquished his lead over Governor Jon Corzine. Despite a 10:1 spending advantage, and weeks of non-stop negative news stories about his challenger, the Governor has not yet broken into the 40's, and [...]
    Posted: September 01, 2009, 6:37am EDT
    by Jeff Michaels
  • A New Chessboard?

    Politicker NJ

    Is it possible that the revelation about Chris Christie's loan to a colleague in his office has re-shuffled the chess-board of the gubernatorial election? There can be no doubt that any week a campaign is on defense is a bad week for that campaign.  While the earlier revelation from Karl Rove [...]
    Posted: August 23, 2009, 10:58am EDT
    by Jeff Michaels
  • The death of the New Jersey media

    Politicker NJ

    One of the notable developments in New Jersey statewide government and politics in recent years, becoming acute in 2009, is the evisceration of traditional journalism that has covered NJ's statehouse and state-wide politics. New Jersey residents used to have many opportunities to get news about their state government and state-wide campaigns.  [...]
    Posted: August 18, 2009, 10:14am EDT
    by Jeff Michaels
  • The Palin Follies

    Politicker NJ

    Sad news last week - it's official that Sarah Palin resigned as Governor of Alaska, presumably to attempt to burnish her leadership credentials at the national level.  This means we will have to suffer her pretensions to the national Republican leadership, and be constantly reminded of the bone-headed move by [...]
    Posted: July 30, 2009, 9:39am EDT
    by Jeff Michaels
  • The politics of corruption

    Politicker NJ

    The tidal wave unleashed this week by the FBI and the US Attorney's Office across New Jersey will likely re-calibrate the campaign for Governor.  While the corruption did not touch the Governor personally in any way, the investigation of his DCA Commissioner and the arrest of the protégé of his [...]
    Posted: July 24, 2009, 11:52am EDT
    by Jeff Michaels
  • The Politics of Property Tax Relief

    Politicker NJ

    The re-election campaign of Governor Jon Corzine was down-right giddy this week when it was announced that the state's tax amnesty program generated more than $600 million in new state revenue, $400 million more than anticipated. The Governor's re-election campaign issued a breathless statement touting this accomplishment, and reiterated the Governor's [...]
    Posted: June 26, 2009, 11:08pm EDT
    by Jeff Michaels
  • The Governor's Suburban Challenge

    Politicker NJ

    A largely overlooked statistic from Tuesday's election is likely occupying much time and evaluation by Governor Corzine's political advisors, as they plan their campaign strategy and tactics. On Tuesday, the Governor garnered only 77% of his party's primary vote, against 3 unknown, and arguably, kooky candidates. What is more significant [...]
    Posted: June 04, 2009, 3:15pm EDT
    by Jeff Michaels
  • Lonegan’s Illegal Immigrant Scandal

    Politicker NJ

    One of Steve Lonegan's more outlandish claims in his campaign for Governor is that he would be the strongest GOP candidate against Jon Corzine.  One's first instinct is to suppress laughter at this ludicrous assertion, inasmuch as he has lost every race he ever entered outside his small hamlet of [...]
    Posted: May 21, 2009, 8:27am EDT
    by Jeff Michaels
  • Lonegan losing (again?)

    Politicker NJ

    "I'm going to take this guy out in the debate." --Steve Lonegan pre-debate hype, May 12, 2009 Like many of Steve Lonegan's promises, his pledge to "take out" Chris Christie in last night's GOP gubernatorial debate fell very short. Indeed, many observers who watched with me in the NJN Studios, both Christie [...]
    Posted: May 13, 2009, 10:13am EDT
    by Jeff Michaels
  • The Dance of the Honest Man

    Politicker NJ

    I was in a campaign once with New York-based Republican consultant Arthur Finkelstein.  I always remember the advice Arthur gave to candidates or public officials who find themselves answering any questions about transparency, honesty, or integrity, or dealing with governmental actions that touched on these issues. Arthur proposed a formulation [...]
    Posted: April 11, 2009, 4:16pm EDT
    by Jeff Michaels
  • Can a New Staff Save the Governor?

    Politicker NJ

    Ask yourself what the CWA and the NJEA would say if a Republican Governor in his or her re-election year proposed a State Budget that reduced the annual payment to the Teachers Pension and Annuity Fund by more than $500 million, from almost $700 million the previous year, to only [...]
    Posted: March 28, 2009, 2:36pm EDT
    by Jeff Michaels
  • New Jersey’s Property Tax Challenge

    Politicker NJ

    In the run-up to next week’s Budget Address, many New Jerseyans are anxiously awaiting the Governor’s decision on whether he maintains NJ’s property tax rebates.  He and the legislative leaders have apparently ruled out cutting them for some senior citizens;  no decision has been announced as to the fate of [...]
    Posted: March 05, 2009, 10:23am EST
    by Jeff Michaels

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